Prediction on Presidential Elections

Do you know why astrologers always like to make predictions on presidential elections? First, it is an event that receives a lot of attention, and so you pick up lots of random eyeballs just because you talk about it.  Secondly, forget about who is running, your chance of getting it right blindly is close to 50-50 in a tight race, which often is the case.  If you happen to get it right, that is just great.  If you don’t, nobody will remember your incorrect predictions years from now.  Who cares.  But if you place bets on both sides, there is simply no way that you will lose.

Let your computer predict Brexit, while you predict it won’t happen due to voter’s fraud. Or let your computer predict Trump winning, while you predict that the establishment won’t let it happen.  Both sides covered, and you just can’t lose.  And yeah, Socrates predicted Al Gore winning instead of Bush, and failed, but it was because Socrates predicted the winning based on the popular votes.

This time, 2020, we hear about his computer's successful prediction of Trump winning.  But wait, Trump did NOT win in popular votes, because California voters don’t count in his computer model for popular votes???

WOW!!  I always thought that Socrates, his artificial intelligence computer has all the inputs from the entire world, and would understand the simple difference between popular and electoral votes. Not using the same standard of predictions for two different elections, when you already have about 50:50 chance???

Please make up your mind Mr. Martin Armstrong. Changing freely between electoral and popular votes is just lame.

See also:

US Presidential Election 2016 Forecast Failure

The Mother of all Forecast Claims


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